The Kyoto Protocol Signed April 29,
2000
Entered into force February 16, 2005.
By 2008-2012, Annex 1 countries (Canada) have to reduce their GHG emissions
by an average of 5% below their 1990, Canada is now 24% above 1990 levels.
The fall of the Paul Martin Liberal's saw the Liberal-NDP budget deal with
$900 million for the environment, and the Liberal NDP Kyoto commitment
burned in the subsequent Stephen Harper Conservative Victory.
It was a clear blue sky and
the air was beginning to get that smell of melting snow mingled with
emerging Earth, it is a fresh smell that whispers of springs impending
arrival. Quite the change from the arctic temperatures of only few days
before, the weather is on my mind and the looming spectre of a radically
altered Earth which we all call of home and depend upon in mostly unconscious
ways. On the streetcar, which seemed to be running on a disjointed schedule
I run into one of the performers for the event. Brian
Macmillan steps
on carrying an amplifier, a guitar, and a small collapsible buggy to
carry it all later. It is March 11 the first day of the American Daylight
Saving time scheme, which we have adopted as our own policy. It is also
the Rally for Kyoto support “Canadians
for Kyoto”, that international protocol so successfully scuttled
by the World largest GreenHouse Gas emitter. The Americans, whose unilateral
action on daylight saving time i am forced to comply with.
We are going to Howl for Coyote, well actually
rally for Kyoto but I can’t help but slip in the humorous attempt
to my traveling companion. I muse how it would be funny if i showed up
with a sign and a fur coat, a refugee of of protests past, confused about
what the agenda is but always willing to show up at whatever cause needs
representing. As i muse a little more about it, I realize i have become
a little jaded with the “green” movement, and am not alone
in that regard. At the event instead of the expected teeming thousands,
there would be at best six or seven hundred supporters, with maybe a
thousand and a half around 1:30 pm, which is probably the result over
the confusion over what time it really is, does anybody know? However
the Green peace polar bears are there, cavorting for the children and
the cameras from all the major networks. Assessing the camera potential,
i end up confusing the French CBC radio crew and opt instead for stalking
the City TV crew to no avail. I am not a “photo op” but i
feel like someone who is locked out of the public debate, but has something
say.
Trying to keep the media lens focused on
climate change may prove to be challenging, as this is a problem that
is decades long in scope. In 1992 Some 1,700 of the world's leading scientists,
including the majority of Nobel laureates in the sciences, issued an
appeal in November of that year, “The World Scientists' Warning
to Humanity” was
written and spearheaded by the late Henry Kendall, former chair of UCS's
board of directors. The plea for immediate action, and warning of consequences
were profoundly ignored, page 20 news at best. I remember thinking at
the time, this is the most important document of our Time, it should
be front page on every newspaper in the world.
That was the time to take action, Mount
Pintabuto had injected enough material into the stratosphere that there
was about seven years of cooling, if we had used this time to reduce
substantially our collective output of Co2, we might have leveraged that
cooling to our advantage. We did not. It looked like something might
have actually happened in those heady days at the end of the century
with all the hopes and fears of a new millennium.
On November 12, 1998, Vice President Al
Gore symbolically signed the Kyoto protocol. Gore indicated that the
protocol would not be acted upon in the Senate until there was participation
by the developing nations. The Clinton Administration never submitted
the protocol to the Senate for ratification, leaving it to the next administration.
Despite the fact that the Democratic nominee Al Gore won the popular
vote, with over half a million more votes than Bush, a month of ballot
recounts and court challenges in the state of Florida where George’s
brother was Governor led the Supreme Court to end the highly disputed
race with its final ruling of Bush v. Gore, handing the electoral college
victory, and consequently the Presidency, to Bush. Bush was publicly
opposed to Kyoto. The matter was further pushed to the periphery of World
affairs when three towers fell on September 11th. Although the Three
towers that fell all presented evidence of controlled demolition and
high temperature thermite reactions (the amount of molten metal at the
base of the towers), that hypotheses was never debated in public as the “War
on Terror” began
in earnest and climate change was all but forgotten as we retreated into
a media and stress induced stupor.
Instead Exxon Mobil wrote US Environmental
Policy and it was rubber stamped by the Pro Oil, Bush Administration.
The Bush Regime’s
response to any real attempts to save energy, or reduce emissions was
a deliberate policy to hide from the World and the American Public the
science and implications of Global Warming. The Bush appointed as chairman
of the Environment and Public Works Committee, a pompous, self aggrandizing
simpleton, who was and still is Senator of Oklahoma. The man
seems to possess no real intelligence or ethics, the fact that
he was permitted to influence and draft policy at the highest level only
underscores the level of dysfunction in US Government and complacency
in the voting public. Despite the scientific consensus on climate change,
as chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee, Inhofe voted
on June 22, 2005 to reject an amendment to an energy bill that would
have forced reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases and created an
emissions trading program, arguing that there was "no
convincing scientific evidence" for global warming. He went on further
to state that "Global warming is still considered to be a theory
and has not come close to being sufficiently proven". Mr. Inhofe
has led efforts to keep mandatory controls on greenhouse gases out of
any emission reduction bill considered by his committee and has called
human activities contributing to global warming "the greatest hoax
ever perpetrated on the American people."
Against this backdrop it would have been difficult
for any Government in Canada to achieve the agreed Kyoto targets. America
had achieved critical tactical advantage and control over Canadian policy
in this regard. In Fact the day of the Rally for Kyoto took place on
the first day of the American extension of Daylight saving time. A move
that many studies prove will not save any energy, but gives the appearance
of doing something, that being moving the hands of a clock and having
a little more shopping time which is incidentally is the real benefit
of Daylight Saving Time.
The Chairman for the Environment, Mr. Inhofe
based most of his decisions on one book he had managed to read that supported
the viewpoint that he wanted to have. Bjørn Lomborg, a business
school professor in Copenhagen, wrote “The
Skeptical Environmentalist”.
Even the title was misleading, Bjørn claimed to have been a member
of Greenpeace, however there was no record of him ever being a member
or supporter. The media, and Inhofe initially represented him as a former
Greenpeace activist, when in fact the only association with Greenpeace
he had was an unsubstantiated donation.
The Danish Committees on Scientific Dishonesty
(DCSD), a body under Denmark's Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation,
claimed that The Skeptical Environmentalist contained deliberately
misleading data and flawed conclusions. Inhofe the chairman of
the Environment, implemented deliberately misleading and flawed
policy. While Kyoto languished the Planet began giving ever more
alarming signs that we were headed for a period of intense climate
instability as CO2 readings climbed to levels not seen in 650,000 years.
And that's a fact, Jack, and all the caulking in the world won’t
put it back.
To be fair, Chairman Inhofe has read more
than one author on the subject, that would be Michael
Crighton, no friend
to science but a noted science fiction author of many books such as Andromeda
Strain and Jurassic Park. Michael Crighton testified at a Congressional
hearing on climate change, having been invited by Senator James Inhofe,
to advise the Environment and Public Works Committee, despite having
no expertise in the subject. Painful but true, a Science Fiction author
with odd ideas and rambling incoherent speeches advises the US Government
on Environmental Policy.
Meanwhile in 2001, the then head of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Dr. Robert Watson, issued
an emotional plea to governments to act upon the near certainty that
human activity was in fact a major contributing factor, threatening large
scale climate change with cataclysmic risk. Watson is credited with forging
global scientific consensus on key issues within the IPPC. Exxon requested
that Dr. Robert Watson be removed, the Bush administration withdrew support
for him and applied pressure for his replacement, his position was not
renewed. It was against this corrosive backdrop that Canada ratified
and endorsed Kyoto. Without American Support any real action on our part
would have and will be undermined by the U.S., however it is time to
take a stand against such an intellectually bereft, scheming and immoral
regime.
At the “Canadians for Kyoto” rally,
there was no representation from the Conservatives. The Liberals were
represented by MP Maria Minna who went on to say “We have to do
it ourselves, get rid of this government so that we can actually ratify
the Kyoto accord, which we're all committed to,”. The NDP represented
by Jack “get
out the caulking guns” Layton came out swinging, big on rhetoric
but shy on real solutions although he mentioned the word at least 10
times.. The Conservative party absence sends a clear message, Stephen
Harper will not honour Kyoto. Instead it will be a “made in Canada” solution,
remarkably complimenting the “made in America” climate change
policy (basically no real action on Greenhouse Gas Emissions).
Jack was
ambiguous about whether he was willing to tackle the Harper Conservatives,
it is worth remembering that Layton and Stephen Harper’s Conservatives
took out the Liberals under Paul Martin. After the 2004 federal election,
the NDP wielded significant power and contributed much to the Liberal
budget . Then Prime Minister Paul Martin reached an agreement with the
New Democrats in April of 2006 to earn support for his minority government's
budget. The deal included a $4.6-billion boost in social program spending
over two years. It was a historical budget, and a coup for the NDP, the
NDP had accomplished something that was way beyond expectations. What
was remarkable is that the budget ever passed at all. The Canadian Chamber
of Commerce, the Canadian Council of Chief Executives and the Canadian
Federation of Independent Business all criticized the government's attempts
to get the budget passed and stay alive. The opposition Conservatives
denounced the Liberal-NDP budget deal and threatened repeatedly to vote
against the budget and bring down the government. But on June 23, the
Liberals deployed a rarely-used procedural tactic to limit debate. In
a midnight vote, the Liberal's amended budget passed third reading by
a vote of 152-147.
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Then remarkably
Layton sided with the Conservatives to stab the Liberal’s in the
back, the move imperiled both the Budget and Kyoto. From any reasonable
measure the social and environmental costs of such a reckless and foolhardy
gambit seem almost the work of a megalomaniac, essentialy Layton pissed
it all away, and handed to Stephen Harper the position of Prime Minister.
In the 2006 election, Layton’s leadership drew an additional half-million
voters to the NDP, but lost almost all the strategic power he had with
the Liberals. It seems clear that the opportunity will not likely come
again. Layton amazingly inspires a cult like devotion, his voting public
apparently finds no fault with his leadership.
With both the left and the right attacking the
Liberals it is not surprising that they would lose, what is surprising
that we are expected to believe that Jack Layton never thought that would happen.
Jack Layton is either very naive or a political opportunist willing to partner
without discretion provided it boosts his own political fortune. It can be
infered that the NDP will work with Mr. Harper to keep the conservatives in
power.
Perhaps it is time for the NDP to consider its options carefully and act
more like a mature Federal political party accepting that it needs to build
coalitions with the Greens or the Liberals, as bitter a pill as that is
to swallow. With the Greens, NDP and Conservatives all trying to discredit
the Liberal environmental record, a Conservative Majority is looking very
likely. Despite this heartfelt rally, the NDP looks poised to continue
to blame the Liberals and tacitly endorse the Conservatives. This is a
difficult time for an NDP supporter, who truly cares about climate change.
The NDP would like us to believe that they are the driving force behind
environmental policy. This is simply not true, and while Jack Layton’s
record at the city and municipal level is praise worthy he does not seem
to be able to make the leap to the Federal level, he still walks and talks
more like an overly ambitious city policy advisor than a future coalition
builder at a National Level.
Although Kyoto is about policy and should transcend
party lines, that is not how it actually works in Canada now. Maybe we
have to admit that we have failed and Harper is right, paying out massive penalties
really won’t diminish greenhouse gases. Perhaps we should default and
plow money into transit and research. One thing is for certain, there is a
lot at stake in the next election.
Where is a leader that can speak with knowledge and conviction, some one
who can bring people together to tackle this issue. Jack Layton played
boldly and courageously in the overthrow of the Liberals, but came out
looking like he had been a stooge used by the Conservatives. Both the Liberals
and the Tories have new leaders, why not the NDP? Maybe the NDP should
look within for that leader, lets start fresh, Cheri DiNovo and Bill Blaikie
- elected to the house of commons nine times, come to mind - it seems
the same old ideas coming from the same old places, will only result in
the same old tired solutions... that don’t work.
We need a coalition of committed parties, not infighting and petty backbiting.
Lets really shake it up. Canadians for Kyoto, we can always hope, in December
of this year it will have been a decade, we need to act boldy and with
all the power that intelligence and human optimism can provide. Its Time,
and that would be Standard Time, Canadian Time, lets look to Europe for
leadership as it is clear that our neighbours to the South are off the
rails. It is worth noting that Europe did not adopt the Bush Daylight Saving
Time extension scheme, but insted put in place a policy aiming for a 20%
reduction in GreenHouse Gas emissions.
A real Energy Saving Policy cannot
be had by playing with the clock.
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